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Dr. Toghrul Aliyev
Dr. Toghrul Aliyev
Research Lead
A Polymarket whale’s all‑in streak ends in a total wipeout
Sep 30, 2026 · 11:00 AM
A Polymarket trader's four bets in 11 days show how quickly back-to-back wins can vanish with a single wrong pick
Sep 30, 2026 · 9:30 AM
Traders bet on a Drake feature in GTA VI's soundtrack, but Rockstar's early reveals tell a different story
Sep 30, 2026 · 9:00 AM
Kotek's approval ratings are underwater, but her cash advantage could fuel a late-cycle surge
Sep 30, 2026 · 8:30 AM
The battle for Alabama's Senate seat depends on turnout, messaging, and late-breaking issues
Sep 30, 2026 · 8:00 AM
GPT-6 Astra's critical cybersecurity capabilities mean future versions will face extra scrutiny before launch
Sep 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM
This top-16 Polymarket whale made $9 million, yet copying its big trades would have left retail traders with almost nothing
Sep 29, 2026 · 10:30 AM
Discord was expected to go public this year, but missed its window and now faces a tougher market that could push its IPO much later than expected
Sep 29, 2026 · 9:30 AM
Everyone expects a home win for Slovakia, but their last performance hints this match might not be as simple as it seems
Sep 29, 2026 · 8:30 AM
Injuries and retirements leave Czechia searching for answers before Tuesday's match against England
Sep 29, 2026 · 7:30 AM
Spain plays at home for the first time since winning the World Cup in July, facing Croatia as the heavy favorite to extend its 39-game unbeaten run
Sep 28, 2026 · 10:00 AM
The bettor's all-in strategy wiped him out repeatedly before an NFL wager changed everything.
Sep 28, 2026 · 6:00 AM
A disputed poll sample fuels debate over how close Taipei’s mayor race truly is
Sep 28, 2026 · 5:30 AM
A fragmented opposition in Saxony-Anhalt may hand the initiative to the AfD despite its seat shortfall
Sep 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM
Multiple pollsters now show Ceará’s governor race as a toss‑up, with momentum clearly shifting toward the incumbent
Sep 28, 2026 · 4:30 AM
Finland looks strong at home against Belarus, but the market is pricing a much tighter Nations League clash than the stats suggest.
Sep 25, 2026 · 2:05 PM
Today's prediction market analysis, whale alerts, and arbitrage spreads
Sep 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM
One bettor’s deep red portfolio flipped to strong gains after spotting how knockout matches are priced on Polymarket
Sep 25, 2026 · 11:30 AM
The AI investment cycle remains the defining market narrative, with bulls and bears split on timing and magnitude
Sep 25, 2026 · 10:30 AM
Arizona's governor race tilts toward Hobbs as Biggs struggles to convert Trump support into a winning coalition
Sep 25, 2026 · 3:00 AM
Fresh inflation data and hawkish Fed signals leave markets bracing for a potential follow-up rate hike
Sep 25, 2026 · 2:30 AM
The AI leaderboard's new number one came out of nowhere, forcing rivals to scramble for a countermove before the September 30 cutoff.
Sep 24, 2026 · 4:40 PM
A new Polymarket bettor went all‑in twice in 24 hours, survived an account wipeout, and turned a massive loss into a perfect comeback
Sep 24, 2026 · 4:00 PM
A tightening polling gap obscures the arithmetic required to unseat Toronto's incumbent mayor
Sep 24, 2026 · 4:30 AM
Discrepancies between official statements and promoter actions present an overlooked trade setup for traders tracking Ye's upcoming Russian tour
Sep 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM
Recent model releases from rival companies have yet to threaten Claude's dominant lead on the LMArena leaderboard
Sep 24, 2026 · 12:30 AM
A leadership vacuum inside RNI creates an advantage for PAM in Morocco's parliamentary election
Sep 23, 2026 · 4:55 PM
In just four days, a new Polymarket whale built a big soccer win, cashed out, and disappeared
Sep 23, 2026 · 3:30 PM
Florida’s Senate battle looks tight on paper, but the state’s voter rolls and recent polling history tell a different story
Sep 23, 2026 · 1:30 PM
Polls show a tight contest, with Flanagan holding a narrow edge as Tafoya makes her first run for office
Sep 23, 2026 · 12:30 PM
Wisconsin's governor race is heating up as Democrats aim to hold the seat in a midterm battle
Sep 23, 2026 · 9:30 AM
With no Libertarian on the ballot, Georgia's Senate winner may be decided outright on Election Day
Sep 22, 2026 · 8:30 AM
A high-stakes sports trader erased a massive drawdown by targeting misunderstood underdogs
Sep 22, 2026 · 5:00 AM
Canada's central bank faces a clear choice between holding or tightening as inflation stays hot
Sep 22, 2026 · 4:00 AM
Midterm headwinds for the president's party add pressure to Collins in a state that leans Democratic federally
Sep 22, 2026 · 2:00 AM
Persistent memory chip shortages have traders weighing whether Micron can deliver another surprise result on September 30
Sep 22, 2026 · 12:00 AM
Sticky core inflation data puts fresh pressure on Australia's central bank ahead of its next meeting
Sep 21, 2026 · 12:00 PM
One Polymarket wallet has booked about $161,000 in profit on 22 wagers, but the path there suggests luck may be doing more work than skill
Sep 21, 2026 · 9:30 AM
Polls, money and ballot structure all point in one direction for Kansas governor, yet the odds still leave room for a surprise
Sep 21, 2026 · 7:00 AM
Serbia's upcoming election created a massive market mispricing, and one candidate's own words reveal why
Sep 21, 2026 · 4:00 AM
Sweden's central bank faces a key rate decision this week as inflation and employment data remain soft
Sep 21, 2026 · 3:00 AM
Market expectations mount as Hungary's central bank prepares a high-stakes rate decision amid currency pressure
Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 PM
A Polymarket wallet just showed how dangerous near‑certain bets can be after one loss nearly wiped out a year of tiny wins
Sep 18, 2026 · 8:00 AM
Historical launch cycles and recent comments from Sony suggest the PlayStation 6 reveal is still years away
Sep 18, 2026 · 7:30 AM
The last official GTA VI trailer dropped over 500 days ago, and speculation is growing about the next one
Sep 18, 2026 · 5:30 AM
Polymarket traders weigh the odds of a second Fed rate hike after September's move
Sep 17, 2026 · 4:55 PM
A new Polymarket whale just lost $2 million in hours, and now it's trying to win it all back
Sep 17, 2026 · 4:10 PM
Washington debates fuel export limits as diesel hits an all-time high above $6 a gallon
Sep 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM
The ActBlue leaderboard points to a familiar name as Friday's settlement nears
Sep 17, 2026 · 1:30 PM
The Madrid derby pits two title contenders against each other with very different underlying numbers
Sep 17, 2026 · 1:00 PM
With Erling Haaland in solid form and Sunderland's defense weakened by injuries, Manchester City may turn Sunday's encounter into an easy win
Sep 16, 2026 · 10:30 AM
Near-unanimous market odds set up a massive short-term yield opportunity on the Fed’s impending rate decision
Sep 16, 2026 · 9:00 AM
With an unblemished record, one regional champion enters a deciding global qualifier as a massive market underdog
Sep 16, 2026 · 7:00 AM
This top-50 wallet looked unstoppable until one soccer match changed everything
Sep 16, 2026 · 6:00 AM
A dominant lead in the AI rankings leaves rival models running out of time to catch the current favorite
Sep 16, 2026 · 5:30 AM
This Polymarket whale wiped out a week of losses in three hours, exposing his single biggest market secret
Sep 16, 2026 · 3:40 AM
Short cycle drawdowns and historical post-bottom rallies point to an intriguing year-end opportunity for crypto traders
Sep 16, 2026 · 3:30 AM
With no 95+ Metacritic rivals in sight this year, GTA VI faces its best opportunity yet to claim the Game of the Year award
Sep 16, 2026 · 3:20 AM
Recent polls point to a shocker in Iowa's open Senate race, yet market odds suggest a familiar pattern will decide the outcome
Sep 16, 2026 · 3:10 AM
Hull City brings the league's best defense to St James' Park to test a struggling, short-handed Newcastle United squad
Sep 16, 2026 · 3:00 AM
A late-season points gap and ruthless reliability leave one F1 team on the brink of locking up the 2026 constructors' title
Sep 14, 2026 · 4:30 PM
A trader known for careful soccer bets has made a fast, massive move into American football
Sep 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM
Widow’s Bay looks like the Emmy favorite, but Hacks may have a better chance than the odds suggest
Sep 14, 2026 · 1:30 PM
Traders are heavily backing one show to win the night’s biggest variety award, and the odds are starting to look almost too good to ignore
Sep 14, 2026 · 1:00 PM
Madrid is the clear favorite against Elche, though its away record offers a reason for caution
Sep 14, 2026 · 12:30 PM
A Monday night Serie A showdown puts Inter's perfect record on the line
Sep 11, 2026 · 3:00 PM
One of the six whales betting against the Clarity Act just made a move, and it might be the only one that actually knows what’s coming
Sep 11, 2026 · 2:00 PM
Montana's Senate contest pits one Republican against three challengers in a plurality race
Sep 11, 2026 · 9:00 AM
The UFC 331 co-main event pits a top contender against a striker making his five-round debut
Sep 11, 2026 · 5:30 AM
One name dominates the WNBA MVP race as the regular season enters its final stretch
Sep 11, 2026 · 5:00 AM
Something big is happening in Quebec’s election race, and the odds on one party to win the National Assembly just got very interesting
Sep 10, 2026 · 4:58 PM
A Polymarket wallet has placed more than 14,000 orders since July, and its newest play shows exactly why this whale deserves a spot on your watchlist
Sep 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM
Rockstar’s last two delays have left some traders skeptical that the current GTA 6 release window will hold without another move
Sep 10, 2026 · 12:30 PM
Prediction markets price in the odds of a ChatGPT price increase as OpenAI navigates growing financial pressure
Sep 10, 2026 · 12:00 PM
A failed procedural vote in the Senate has left the SAVE Act with little momentum and a shrinking window to advance
Sep 10, 2026 · 11:30 AM
Prediction markets are asking when Starlink might announce its own IPO, even as the parent company now trades as one entity
Sep 9, 2026 · 11:00 AM
A six‑figure wager on an underdog at the US Open became one of beachboy4’s best nights after a historic marathon match went his way
Sep 9, 2026 · 9:00 AM
Grok 5 has been pushed back repeatedly by xAI, leaving prediction markets to price a release that keeps slipping into the future
Sep 9, 2026 · 1:00 AM
The discovery of 3I/ATLAS made it the third confirmed object from another star system, raising the question of how soon a fourth will appear
Sep 9, 2026 · 12:30 AM
Years of failed attempts to ban congressional stock trading are meeting the same reality in 2026, as key bills languish and time runs out
Sep 9, 2026 · 12:00 AM
OpenAI has told staff it plans to go public in 2027, while Anthropic makes moves that suggest a much earlier debut
Sep 8, 2026 · 2:00 AM
One huge Blue Jays wager just delivered a six-figure win for a shadowy Polymarket trader whose best moves could be far more selective than they appear
Sep 8, 2026 · 1:30 AM
Anthropic's Fable 5.1 has pushed the LMArena ceiling to 1,514, and traders are now wagering on whether the benchmark breaks 1,520 before 2027
Sep 8, 2026 · 1:00 AM
Gary Oldman's Bond remark lifts Jack Lowden as traders weigh an unconfirmed casting choice
Sep 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM
Adam Hamilton’s primary win prompts forecast adjustments in a historically Republican Senate seat
Sep 8, 2026 · 12:00 AM
Despite Anthropic's IPO timeline keeping shifting, we found one Kalshi contract that still looks mispriced
Sep 7, 2026 · 2:00 PM
A brand-new Polymarket wallet has climbed into the all-time top 250 in nine days, but the habit that got it there can also lead to its downfall
Sep 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM
Apple is expected to unveil a foldable iPhone on September 9, and the market is split on whether it lands in September or later
Sep 7, 2026 · 9:30 AM
John Fetterman faces a fierce backlash from his own party, but the path from outrage to an empty Senate seat is far from simple
Sep 7, 2026 · 9:00 AM
OpenAI recently unveiled GPT‑6 Astra with talk of an “AGI era,” yet a single explicit declaration that would settle the market still has not arrived
Sep 7, 2026 · 8:00 AM
Israel’s airspace has withstood missile fire before, but a new September scare has traders bracing for the one disruption that would change everything
Sep 4, 2026 · 2:00 PM
On-chain data shows funds flowing from Bybit and Binance into six empty wallets, all betting against the Clarity Act bill signed into law in 2026
Sep 4, 2026 · 10:00 AM
After Driscoll’s sudden exit and Tillis’s public ultimatum to Trump, the pressure on Pete Hegseth is reaching a boiling point
Sep 4, 2026 · 3:00 AM
With the Liberals polling below 4%, we break down why their parliamentary survival looks unlikely ahead of the September 13 elections
Sep 4, 2026 · 2:30 AM
As Nicolás Maduro’s lawyers push to dismiss federal charges, a Brooklyn trial looms over the fate of a detained former head of state.
Sep 4, 2026 · 2:00 AM
U.S.–Iran talks have been frozen since June, but with mediators in Tehran and the UN looming, could a surprise round be closer than markets think?
Sep 3, 2026 · 2:00 AM
A Polymarket trader turned a winning streak into a high-stakes lesson about risk.
Sep 3, 2026 · 1:30 AM
Apple’s iPhone 18 Pro price is about to be revealed, but memory costs have turned a simple launch figure into a high-stakes market bet.
Sep 3, 2026 · 1:00 AM
Anthropic’s and Alibaba's latest releases reshuffled the WebDev leaderboard overnight, but Moonshot may already be preparing to overtake one of them.
Sep 3, 2026 · 12:30 AM
Morgan Wallen’s year-old album is dominating 2026, making him the clear favorite for Billboard’s top artist award.
Sep 3, 2026 · 12:00 AM
The US has already reported more tornadoes than the market’s top threshold, but the final count depends on what survives official review.
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