Who we are

Predictbook is an independent intelligence desk for prediction markets, covering developing events as they unfold in leading exchanges, and tracking the industry as it grows. Every day we publish original market analysis, surface the large orders and cross-platform spreads professionals watch for, and track the moves as they happen. Our readers include individual traders, institutional traders, journalists, and anyone just getting their toes in the water.

Our mission

Every piece should leave you knowing three things: what the market is pricing, why the real world justifies or contradicts it, and what the trade looks like. Prediction markets are one of the most honest information sources ever built, and almost nobody reads the fine print that governs them. We do, every day, out loud. As these markets grow into elections, macro, sports, and technology, we intend to be the source that explains them and holds the line on quality.

Unlike news publishers, we do not cover 'news' per se. You won't find rewritten corporate press releases, partnership news, startup funding or general news items on our platform, that's not our territory. We aim to bring original analysis on the actual markets and events that people bet on.

Prediction market odds are free and public information. Understanding them isn't. A price of 74 cents tells you what people believe a market outcome might be, not why, not whether it's right, not where the mispricing hides. Closing that gap is our job.

Editorial standards

We say what we think plainly, and back it up. Every number carries a date and a source, linked to the underlying market and the evidence, so you can check our work. We don't run claims we can't support, we correct errors in the open, and we never dress up a bet as a certainty. Trust is the point, and it's rare in this industry.

Use of AI

This website is run by human judgment. We use AI algorithms behind the scenes to aggregate, filter, and monitor market data - flagging real-time whale trades and spotting arbitrage opportunities as they happen. However, we never publish AI-generated analysis or let automated models write our commentary. While we may also use AI for editorial processes like brainstorming ideas or processing heavy datasets, at the end of the day, every piece of editorial work on our platform is researched, written, and verified by our team.