Who ranks second in AI web coding, Anthropic or OpenAI?

Anthropic just stole the top spot in AI web coding, but the real question is who gets left behind. OpenAI is now priced at 92% to finish second, unless a last-minute model appears at DevDay and changes everything.

Will the Fed's interest rate reach 4.25% before 2027?

The Fed has barely finished raising rates, and markets are already bracing for another hike. Inflation is still running hot, business costs are accelerating, and one Fed official just warned that more “adjustments” may be needed.

Who wins Arizona's governor race: Katie Hobbs or Andy Biggs?

Andy Biggs won Trump’s endorsement and the Republican primary, but Arizona voters may not be ready to follow him all the way to the governor’s office. Katie Hobbs is leading every recent poll, and Biggs is running out of time to change the race.

Will the AI bubble burst before the end of 2026?

Wall Street is calling AI a late-stage bubble, but prediction markets see almost no chance of a crash this year. Although one trigger has already been checked, the question is whether two more can hit before December 31.

The whale of the day

One Polymarket trader went from a $2.6 million hole to a seven-figure turnaround by exploiting a detail most bettors overlooked. Now he is borrowing millions to increase his NFL bets, and his latest win may be hiding a much riskier story.