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Signals

Track movements before they become headlines

Whale Alert

30-min delay

Whale Alert

Today · 5:12 PM EDT

Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets

SIZE$628,940

ODDS98.00%

Whale Alert

Today · 4:55 PM EDT

Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC

SIZE$671,534

ODDS99.90%

Whale Alert

Today · 3:38 PM EDT

Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

SIZE$119,286

ODDS99.90%

View all whale alerts

Arbitrage

30-min delay

Arbitrage

Today · 5:13 PM EDT

Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? - 1

POLY80¢

KALSHI10¢

SPREAD10%

Arbitrage

Today · 4:59 PM EDT

Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027? - Donald Trump

POLY84¢

KALSHI5.9¢

SPREAD10.1%

Arbitrage

Today · 4:46 PM EDT

Who will IPO before 2027? - OpenAI

POLY4¢

KALSHI81¢

SPREAD15%

View all arbitrage alerts

SUMMARY

Today

What happened today

95 new signals - 14 whale alerts, 81 arbitrage opportunities
Largest whale: $671,534 on “Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC”
Widest spread: 15% on “Who will IPO before 2027? - OpenAI”

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Analysis

Expert perspectives behind market movements.

Will Euphoria be the most-searched TV show on Google

Culture

Aug 27, 2026 · 3:00 PM

Will Euphoria be the most-searched TV show on Google

Google names the world's most-searched show in December. One show on this board has already won that list once, and it did it the hard way.

Politics

Aug 27, 2026 · 10:30 AM

Who becomes governor of Rio de Janeiro, Eduardo Paes or Douglas Ruas?

Rio de Janeiro has not had an elected governor since March, and the man about to become one lost this election before in 2018.

Sports

Aug 27, 2026 · 2:00 PM

Who wins Italy's Serie A: Inter, Juventus or Napoli?

9 of the last 10 Italian titles went to the same few clubs. We outline a proven basket strategy that removes the need to predict a single winner.

Politics

Aug 27, 2026 · 11:00 AM

Will Iliana Iotova remain president of Bulgaria?

Bulgaria votes for president on October 25. We explain which candidate is the clear favorite and how our bet targets a 37% return.

Politics

Aug 27, 2026 · 10:00 AM

Who becomes governor of Minas Gerais, Cleitinho or Simões?

In October the second-biggest Brazilian state elects a governor, and the likely winner is not the one you would think it is.

Live Feed

LIVE: Will Trump say alien, Elon Musk, and SpaceX during remarks at NASA?

LIVE

3:30 PM EDTAug 27, 2026

What the market expects to hear at Johnson Space Center

Trump speaks at NASA's Johnson Space Center tomorrow at 11 am ET, pinning the Congressional Space Medal of Honor on the Artemis II crew.

Polymarket has 19 contracts open on which words he uses. And traders think the most likely words Trump is going to say are:

Mission: 90%
Space Force: 89%
Flag: 67%
Never Seen Anything: 67%
Smart: 61%
China / Chinese: 59%

Dr. Toghrul Aliyev

1 updatesyesterday

Read full thread

Explore by Category

The latest articles from our most-followed prediction market topics.

Finance

Europe's own central banker says the case for raising rates is missing

Finance

Aug 14, 2026 · 7:30 AM

Europe's own central banker says the case for raising rates is missing

Europe's central bank raised borrowing costs in June for the first time in 3 years, and traders are 86% sure it does it again on September 10

Everybody wants to hand this man money even after he lost $35 billion

Finance

Aug 17, 2026 · 3:00 AM

Everybody wants to hand this man money even after he lost $35 billion

He was up 439% for the year through June and then lost roughly two thirds of the fund in a single month

Russia is arranging a bailout for its Amazon

Finance

Aug 17, 2026 · 2:30 AM

Russia is arranging a bailout for its Amazon

The Kremlin has confirmed that talks about helping Wildberries took place at the government level and that no decision has been reached yet

Finance

Finance

Aug 14, 2026 · 7:30 AM

Europe's own central banker says the case for raising rates is missing

Europe's central bank raised borrowing costs in June for the first time in 3 years, and traders are 86% sure it does it again on September 10

Finance

Aug 17, 2026 · 3:00 AM

Everybody wants to hand this man money even after he lost $35 billion

He was up 439% for the year through June and then lost roughly two thirds of the fund in a single month

Finance

Aug 17, 2026 · 2:30 AM

Russia is arranging a bailout for its Amazon

The Kremlin has confirmed that talks about helping Wildberries took place at the government level and that no decision has been reached yet

Crypto

Will Bitcoin stay above $45,000 and pay this whale $193,000?

Crypto

Aug 18, 2026 · 5:30 AM

Will Bitcoin stay above $45,000 and pay this whale $193,000?

Despite Mark Cuban’s recent remarks that Bitcoin has “lost the plot”, this whale is doubling down on the opposite with a $700,000 bet

One whale put $2.91m on Bitcoin holding $55,000 and Ethereum $1,500

Crypto

Aug 21, 2026 · 4:30 AM

One whale put $2.91m on Bitcoin holding $55,000 and Ethereum $1,500

A wallet that did not exist in February is now among the biggest crypto accounts on the Polymarket, betting on one specific idea

Beijing’s Bitcoin ban is tighter than anyone admits

Crypto

Aug 13, 2026 · 8:30 AM

Beijing’s Bitcoin ban is tighter than anyone admits

A million dollars has been traded on a question Beijing answered in writing in February, and the answer was not the one buyers wanted

Sports

With Guardiola gone, who wins the Premier League in 2027?

Sports

Aug 20, 2026 · 3:30 AM

With Guardiola gone, who wins the Premier League in 2027?

There is a way to back the Premier League title without picking a champion, and it has worked nine years running

Who wins Italy's Serie A: Inter, Juventus or Napoli?

Sports

Aug 27, 2026 · 2:00 PM

Who wins Italy's Serie A: Inter, Juventus or Napoli?

9 of the last 10 Italian titles went to the same few clubs. We outline a proven basket strategy that removes the need to predict a single winner.

Who wins the 2026 World Series, the Dodgers or the Brewers?

Sports

Aug 24, 2026 · 2:30 AM

Who wins the 2026 World Series, the Dodgers or the Brewers?

One of these teams has never won a World Series in 57 years of trying.

Politics

Who becomes governor of Rio de Janeiro, Eduardo Paes or Douglas Ruas?

Politics

Aug 27, 2026 · 10:30 AM

Who becomes governor of Rio de Janeiro, Eduardo Paes or Douglas Ruas?

Rio de Janeiro has not had an elected governor since March, and the man about to become one lost this election before in 2018.

Will Iliana Iotova remain president of Bulgaria?

Politics

Aug 27, 2026 · 11:00 AM

Will Iliana Iotova remain president of Bulgaria?

Bulgaria votes for president on October 25. We explain which candidate is the clear favorite and how our bet targets a 37% return.

Who becomes governor of Minas Gerais, Cleitinho or Simões?

Politics

Aug 27, 2026 · 10:00 AM

Who becomes governor of Minas Gerais, Cleitinho or Simões?

In October the second-biggest Brazilian state elects a governor, and the likely winner is not the one you would think it is.

Technology

Knowing Anthropic's ticker is not how you get paid for it

Technology

Aug 7, 2026 · 2:00 PM

Knowing Anthropic's ticker is not how you get paid for it

Nine candidate Anthropic stock tickers sit on this Polymarket board, and 5 of them describe something that is not the company at all

With no filing yet, can the FDA approve Moderna's vaccine?

Technology

Aug 20, 2026 · 3:00 AM

With no filing yet, can the FDA approve Moderna's vaccine?

The trial that just succeeded is not due to finish until 2029, and no application has been filed with anybody yet

Who ends 2026 with the #1 AI model, OpenAI, Google or xAI?

Technology

Aug 18, 2026 · 1:30 AM

Who ends 2026 with the #1 AI model, OpenAI, Google or xAI?

Who takes the best AI model in the world from Anthropic? Will it be OpenAI, Google, or xAI?

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