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Today
What happened today
  • 2 new signals - 2 whale alerts, 0 arbitrage opportunities
  • Largest whale: $140,118 on “Which party will win the U.S. House?”
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Analysis
Expert perspectives behind market movements.
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Politics
Oct 13, 2026 · 7:38 AM
AOC leads 2028 Democratic nominee market despite open field
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez tops Polymarket’s Democratic nominee race, but several rivals stand within striking distance. The battle’s taking shape.
Sports
Oct 12, 2026 · 1:35 PM
Is the market underrating a Guardians team that refused to lose?
Cleveland's comeback stunned traders, but Tampa Bay remain favorites. Is the market undervaluing the Guardians ahead of the ALCS?
Sports
Oct 12, 2026 · 1:11 PM
Are traders pricing Manchester City's scandal ahead of PSG clash?
Manchester City sit at just 7% in Champions League markets. Is the 114-charge verdict influencing traders more than their form?
Politics
Oct 12, 2026 · 12:07 PM
France’s election market draws $2M in 24 hours as race takes shape
France’s presidential market reached $150 million in volume, with Le Pen leading, as legal battles, a divided left, and youth protests shape the race.
Politics
Oct 12, 2026 · 7:59 AM
Zelenskyy exit odds may face heavy pressure on markets
Trump’s criticism, election talk, and diplomatic pressure are putting Ukraine’s political future under the spotlight. But what are traders pricing in?
Live Feed
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Closed
8:17 PM EDTSep 24, 2026
Xi toasts, and the whole Polymarket board drops

Xi raises his glass to Trump and Melania and to the prosperity of both countries.

15 contracts drop to 0 cents.

"Melania" and "Ballroom" were the only two contracts on the board that paid.

11 updates
Read full thread LIVE: What will Donald Trump say standing next to Xi Jinping?
Explore by Category
The latest articles from our most-followed prediction market topics.
Finance
See more Finance
OpenAI IPO odds of failing the $1T test are rising fast
Finance
Oct 9, 2026 · 1:26 PM
OpenAI IPO odds of failing the $1T test are rising fast
Just a month ago, traders on Polymarket were giving OpenAI IPO a 5% chance to fall below $1T; that figure is now up to 23%.
Can Palantir avoid a selloff after a failed breakout move?
Finance
Oct 9, 2026 · 10:57 AM
Can Palantir avoid a selloff after a failed breakout move?
A Goldman Sachs upgrade pushed Palantir higher, but it failed to break out above $200, so could it really fall to $186 in October?
Are traders wrong about Alphabet’s potential upside in October?
Finance
Oct 8, 2026 · 2:35 PM
Are traders wrong about Alphabet’s potential upside in October?
Polymarket traders think Alphabet has a 30% chance of hitting $380, and I think those odds present a huge market opportunity.
Finance
See more Finance
OpenAI IPO odds of failing the $1T test are rising fast
Finance
Oct 9, 2026 · 1:26 PM
OpenAI IPO odds of failing the $1T test are rising fast
Just a month ago, traders on Polymarket were giving OpenAI IPO a 5% chance to fall below $1T; that figure is now up to 23%.
Can Palantir avoid a selloff after a failed breakout move?
Finance
Oct 9, 2026 · 10:57 AM
Can Palantir avoid a selloff after a failed breakout move?
A Goldman Sachs upgrade pushed Palantir higher, but it failed to break out above $200, so could it really fall to $186 in October?
Are traders wrong about Alphabet’s potential upside in October?
Finance
Oct 8, 2026 · 2:35 PM
Are traders wrong about Alphabet’s potential upside in October?
Polymarket traders think Alphabet has a 30% chance of hitting $380, and I think those odds present a huge market opportunity.
Sports
See more Sports
guardians breaking through obstacles
Sports
Oct 12, 2026 · 1:35 PM
Is the market underrating a Guardians team that refused to lose?
Cleveland's comeback stunned traders, but Tampa Bay remain favorites. Is the market undervaluing the Guardians ahead of the ALCS?
football scales
Sports
Oct 12, 2026 · 1:11 PM
Are traders pricing Manchester City's scandal ahead of PSG clash?
Manchester City sit at just 7% in Champions League markets. Is the 114-charge verdict influencing traders more than their form?
overpriced dodgers
Sports
Oct 9, 2026 · 2:48 PM
Are traders overpaying for a Dodgers three-peat?
Dodgers World Series odds sit at 42%, despite Milwaukee's 103-win season. Is the market overpricing the three-peat story?
Politics
See more Politics
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Politics
Oct 13, 2026 · 7:38 AM
AOC leads 2028 Democratic nominee market despite open field
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez tops Polymarket’s Democratic nominee race, but several rivals stand within striking distance. The battle’s taking shape.
Marine Le Pen, France
Politics
Oct 12, 2026 · 12:07 PM
France’s election market draws $2M in 24 hours as race takes shape
France’s presidential market reached $150 million in volume, with Le Pen leading, as legal battles, a divided left, and youth protests shape the race.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Ukraine
Politics
Oct 12, 2026 · 7:59 AM
Zelenskyy exit odds may face heavy pressure on markets
Trump’s criticism, election talk, and diplomatic pressure are putting Ukraine’s political future under the spotlight. But what are traders pricing in?