Tech predictions analysis

Who takes the best AI model in the world from Anthropic? Will it be OpenAI, Google, or xAI?

Elon Musk has announced three release dates for Grok 4.6 since July 24, but none of them have materialized

Nine candidate Anthropic stock tickers sit on this Polymarket board, and 5 of them describe something that is not the company at all

The August contract on this board needs a 38-day turnaround, and SpaceX has managed that once in 12 attempts

Alibaba owns four of the ten best-ranked Chinese models on LLMArena, and the market may be underpricing it

Nine points of Elo separate the model people are betting on from the model that is actually in first place

Google’s CEO said the company’s new Gemini AI model is still in testing as of July 22, signaling an upcoming launch

There's a way to profit from the next Claude without caring how smart it is or even seeing it at all

Apple has a habit it almost never breaks, and this year it pays 54% while the crowd bets the other way

Two monster AI models launched in a week, and the aftermath left a 45 percent return on the table before August

There is a five week bet in the GPT-6 market that only loses if OpenAI does something it has never once done