Financial predictions analysis

Odds of META hitting $700 in October are rising, with Polymarket traders giving it a 51% chance, up from about 40% pre-market.

With forecasts pointing towards a significant rise in US inflation, does this make an October hike any more likely?

Just a month ago, traders on Polymarket were giving OpenAI IPO a 5% chance to fall below $1T; that figure is now up to 23%.

A Goldman Sachs upgrade pushed Palantir higher, but it failed to break out above $200, so could it really fall to $186 in October?

Polymarket traders think Alphabet has a 30% chance of hitting $380, and I think those odds present a huge market opportunity.

Polymarket traders are giving the S&P 500 Index a 67% chance to outperform gold and bitcoin in 2026, but I think they are underpricing it.

South Africa’s annual inflation rate has spiked since April, but can it rise above 5% for the first time in three years?

Based on its last funding round, OpenAI closed at an $852B valuation, while Anthropic, valued at $965B, is going public at a near-$2T valuation.

Both the 10-year and 30-year yields have hit new multi-year highs, and Polymarket traders are betting on the next moves.

Polymarket traders are giving the SPY a 77% chance to hit $780 with just under $2.3k volume, but we think there might be a smarter trade to consider.

The iPhone maker is leading the race to be the second-largest company in October with a 93% chance versus Alphabet's 4%.

Traders on Polymarket are giving Nvidia a 57% chance of hitting $224 in October, making a no bet interesting.

With expectations for no rate hike in October rising, WTI crude oil seems poised for a pullback, at least temporarily.

Meta Platforms will set a new 52-week high if it hits $780 per share, and it could do so ahead of earnings in late October.

Anthropic had a 14% chance versus SpaceX's 86% chance in July, but they are now neck-and-neck at 47% and 50%, respectively.

The chance of an October rate hike has fallen to 42%, while the chance of no change is 57% after Fed Chair Williams’ ‘no need for urgency’ statement.

Discord was expected to go public this year, but missed its window and now faces a tougher market that could push its IPO much later than expected

The odds are stacked against Apple, with just over a 16% chance versus Nvidia’s 76% on Polymarket of being the biggest company by the end of 2026.

Fresh inflation data and hawkish Fed signals leave markets bracing for a potential follow-up rate hike

Canada's central bank faces a clear choice between holding or tightening as inflation stays hot

Sticky core inflation data puts fresh pressure on Australia's central bank ahead of its next meeting

Sweden's central bank faces a key rate decision this week as inflation and employment data remain soft

Market expectations mount as Hungary's central bank prepares a high-stakes rate decision amid currency pressure

Polymarket traders weigh the odds of a second Fed rate hike after September's move

Near-unanimous market odds set up a massive short-term yield opportunity on the Fed’s impending rate decision

Prediction markets are asking when Starlink might announce its own IPO, even as the parent company now trades as one entity

Despite Anthropic's IPO timeline keeping shifting, we found one Kalshi contract that still looks mispriced

He was up 439% for the year through June and then lost roughly two thirds of the fund in a single month

The Kremlin has confirmed that talks about helping Wildberries took place at the government level and that no decision has been reached yet