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Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
55.5¢
Kalshi
Over 8.5 runs scored
32¢
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
43.5¢
Kalshi
Aleksandre Bakshi wins
60¢
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.7¢
Kalshi
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
42¢
Polymarket
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.2¢
Kalshi
Over 7.5 runs scored
41¢
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.6¢
Kalshi
Nexus Gaming wins
3¢
Polymarket
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur Fery
0.1¢
Kalshi
Ignacio Buse wins
49¢
Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
0.3¢
Kalshi
Crescent wins
95¢
Polymarket
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.2¢
Kalshi
Aaron Funk wins
41¢
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.3¢
Kalshi
Charles Broom wins
46¢
Polymarket
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?
66.5¢
Kalshi
Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?
48¢
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
55.5¢
Kalshi
Over 8.5 runs scored
32¢
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
43.5¢
Kalshi
Aleksandre Bakshi wins
60¢
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.7¢
Kalshi
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
42¢
Polymarket
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.2¢
Kalshi
Over 7.5 runs scored
41¢
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.6¢
Kalshi
Nexus Gaming wins
3¢
Polymarket
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur Fery
0.1¢
Kalshi
Ignacio Buse wins
49¢
Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
0.3¢
Kalshi
Crescent wins
95¢
Polymarket
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.2¢
Kalshi
Aaron Funk wins
41¢
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.3¢
Kalshi
Charles Broom wins
46¢
Polymarket
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?
66.5¢
Kalshi
Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?
48¢
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Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?56¢▼
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44¢▲
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢▼
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?67¢▲
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)18¢▲
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?56¢▼
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44¢▲
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢▼
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?67¢▲
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)18¢▲
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?56¢▼
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44¢▲
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢▼
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?67¢▲
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)18¢▲
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?56¢▼
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44¢▲
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢▼
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?67¢▲
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)18¢▲

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Signals
The large orders and cross-platform spreads that professionals watch for, in one place. When a whale opens or closes a position, or the same event trades at two different prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, it shows up here
3 signals today
30-min delay
Arbitrage
Aug 29, 2026 • 12:57 AM EDT
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026? - Above 3.5%
YES · Polymarket
3.2¢
NO · Kalshi
87¢
Spread
9.8%
Arbitrage
Aug 29, 2026 • 12:36 AM EDT
Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027? - Donald Trump
YES · Kalshi
5.9¢
NO · Polymarket
83¢
Spread
11.1%
Arbitrage
Aug 29, 2026 • 12:16 AM EDT
Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? - Above $109,999.99
YES · Kalshi
16¢
NO · Polymarket
74¢
Spread
10%
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 11:53 PM EDT
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
Market Outcome: Hike >25bps, No
Address: unknown
Side
SELL 99.00%
Size
$209,982
Platform
KALSHI
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 11:38 PM EDT
Who will IPO before 2027? - OpenAI
YES · Polymarket
4.1¢
NO · Kalshi
81¢
Spread
14.9%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 11:28 PM EDT
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? - 1
YES · Kalshi
10¢
NO · Polymarket
80¢
Spread
10%
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 11:28 PM EDT
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles A
Market Outcome: Parlay (2 legs), Yes
Address: unknown
Side
BUY 74.00%
Size
$106,065
Platform
KALSHI
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 10:56 PM EDT
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026? - Above 3.5%
YES · Polymarket
4.1¢
NO · Kalshi
87¢
Spread
8.9%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 10:56 PM EDT
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
YES · Polymarket
6¢
NO · Kalshi
88¢
Spread
6%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 10:51 PM EDT
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? - Connor Storrie
YES · Polymarket
17¢
NO · Kalshi
75¢
Spread
8%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 10:51 PM EDT
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting? - Above 4.00%
YES · Polymarket
20.8¢
NO · Kalshi
73¢
Spread
6.2%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 10:44 PM EDT
Will Bitcoin be above $119,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? - Above $119,999.99
YES · Polymarket
4.3¢
NO · Kalshi
88¢
Spread
7.7%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 10:35 PM EDT
Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027? - Donald Trump
YES · Kalshi
5.9¢
NO · Polymarket
82¢
Spread
12.1%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 9:30 PM EDT
Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026? - In 2026
YES · Kalshi
5.1¢
NO · Polymarket
83¢
Spread
11.9%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 9:28 PM EDT
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? - 1
YES · Kalshi
10¢
NO · Polymarket
80¢
Spread
10%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 9:28 PM EDT
Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027? - Donald Trump
YES · Kalshi
5.9¢
NO · Polymarket
87¢
Spread
7.1%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 9:10 PM EDT
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky governor race in 2027? - Democrat
YES · Kalshi
5.9¢
NO · Polymarket
84¢
Spread
10.1%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 8:54 PM EDT
Will the Bank of Israel Hike more than 25bps at the August Monetary Committee meeting? - Hike more than 25bps
YES · Kalshi
3¢
NO · Polymarket
85¢
Spread
12%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 8:49 PM EDT
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026? - Above 3.5%
YES · Kalshi
22¢
NO · Polymarket
67¢
Spread
11%
Arbitrage
Aug 28, 2026 • 8:47 PM EDT
Who will IPO before 2027? - OpenAI
YES · Polymarket
4¢
NO · Kalshi
81¢
Spread
15%
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 6:38 PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics
Market Outcome: Athletics
Address: 0xf6683d202f76fc9b79e5be716ce8519dab5b5c69
Side
BUY 49.00%
Size
$115,294
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 6:37 PM EDT
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves
Market Outcome: Atlanta Braves
Address: 0xdb859a551fcf56e49416160911476bea7307152f
Side
BUY 68.00%
Size
$102,000
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 5:12 PM EDT
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets
Market Outcome: Under
Address: 0x821dab0565ebf5b327f51db06223fdcfe01acf16
Side
BUY 98.00%
Size
$628,940
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 4:55 PM EDT
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC
Market Outcome: Manchester City FC — Yes
Address: 0x14c7111afa871fb215339f365043d7b2837b9ccf
Side
SELL 99.90%
Size
$671,534
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 3:38 PM EDT
Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Market Outcome: FURIA
Address: 0x5dab5ed9691fab220535891d9c7f5c28eed322e1
Side
SELL 99.90%
Size
$119,286
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 2:49 PM EDT
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC
Market Outcome: Manchester City FC — Yes
Address: 0xdb859a551fcf56e49416160911476bea7307152f
Side
BUY 60.00%
Size
$198,000
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 2:42 PM EDT
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Market Outcome: Target price: TBD, No
Address: unknown
Side
SELL 99.90%
Size
$139,990
Platform
KALSHI
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 1:05 PM EDT
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC
Market Outcome: Manchester City FC — Yes
Address: 0x14c7111afa871fb215339f365043d7b2837b9ccf
Side
BUY 59.00%
Size
$396,602
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 12:42 PM EDT
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF
Market Outcome: Real Racing Club — Yes
Address: 0x34dd4a4b70eaf79a17878f7938263c801d4dfd83
Side
BUY 48.00%
Size
$117,391
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 12:38 PM EDT
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF
Market Outcome: Real Racing Club — Yes
Address: 0x34dd4a4b70eaf79a17878f7938263c801d4dfd83
Side
BUY 48.00%
Size
$197,341
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 10:43 AM EDT
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
Market Outcome: Hike >25bps, No
Address: unknown
Side
SELL 99.00%
Size
$198,000
Platform
KALSHI
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 8:59 AM EDT
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Market Outcome: G2
Address: 0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a0563
Side
BUY 42.00%
Size
$121,800
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 7:38 AM EDT
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
Market Outcome: Invictus Gaming
Address: 0xc9a24fa249cf907c598544a4d46c077c1edf77d3
Side
SELL 99.90%
Size
$156,960
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 6:30 AM EDT
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Market Outcome: Barack Obama, No
Address: unknown
Side
SELL 99.90%
Size
$199,800
Platform
KALSHI
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 6:02 AM EDT
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
Market Outcome: Invictus Gaming
Address: 0xc9a24fa249cf907c598544a4d46c077c1edf77d3
Side
SELL 99.90%
Size
$139,771
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 28, 2026 • 5:08 AM EDT
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Market Outcome: Hillary Clinton, No
Address: unknown
Side
SELL 99.90%
Size
$199,800
Platform
KALSHI
Whale Alert
Aug 27, 2026 • 11:05 PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Market Outcome: Arizona Diamondbacks
Address: 0x6d20c35f65d9899b6d6b74f8466e824580f9a165
Side
BUY 56.00%
Size
$168,000
Platform
POLYMARKET
Whale Alert
Aug 27, 2026 • 11:02 PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Market Outcome: San Francisco Giants
Address: 0xc3acf5878a03523d09a3ac859943445d7baeb964
Side
BUY 41.00%
Size
$205,000
Platform
POLYMARKET
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