American forces struck Larak Island on Sunday. We explain what would actually have to happen for the island next door to change hands.

A jury decides Lindsay Clancy's fate this week. We explain what 41 juries did with her defense, and what backing it pays.

Can somebody be wrong 13 times in a row, be down over $100,000, and still be an insider?

Iran’s last confirmed hits on Saudi were in the spring. With no fresh trigger, what’s the market missing in the fine print?

Today's prediction market analysis, whale alerts, and arbitrage spreads

The well-known Polymarket wallet Djdjdjekekek made $7,302,336 in seven days and then did something nobody expected

Haaland’s path to most-searched athlete in 2026 hinges on a unique edge no rival can match right now.

Why is 86% of the money in this market on coaches who can't win? We explain the odds and who the real pick is.

We explain how we target a 33% return before Christmas using a simple betting strategy.

Google names the world's most-searched show in December. One show on this board has already won that list once, and it did it the hard way.

9 of the last 10 Italian titles went to the same few clubs. We outline a proven basket strategy that removes the need to predict a single winner.

Bulgaria votes for president on October 25. We explain which candidate is the clear favorite and how our bet targets a 37% return.

Rio de Janeiro has not had an elected governor since March, and the man about to become one lost this election before in 2018.

In October the second-biggest Brazilian state elects a governor, and the likely winner is not the one you would think it is.

22 world leaders are on this list, and only one has a scheduled way out of office before the New Year

One of these teams has never won a World Series in 57 years of trying.

Astronomers keep a list of every object that might hit Earth. The one most likely to arrive in 2026 is not on it.

One of these two has every advantage a Democratic primary can hand a candidate. The other has a reason to think it will not be enough.

What is left of Trump's Russia diplomacy after a year of phone calls, a summit canceled in five days and no envoy in Moscow since January?

Oklahoma's attorney general won June by 1,141 votes. The man who lost has since borrowed $11.6m. Is that enough to turn a runoff?

The job has been open since August 12, and the man most likely to take it would lose more than half his salary to do it

A wallet that did not exist in February is now among the biggest crypto accounts on the Polymarket, betting on one specific idea

What is a player actually worth to a club that will not sell him at any price and cannot replace him either?

Two governments that own destroyers and missiles spent last month arguing about who hit whom with a wooden oar

There is a way to back the Premier League title without picking a champion, and it has worked nine years running

The trial that just succeeded is not due to finish until 2029, and no application has been filed with anybody yet

The order landed 41 minutes before Atlético de Madrid and Málaga CF's kickoff, which is after the point where La Liga publishes its team sheets

Democrats have not won this job in 32 years. Their answer this time is a man who spent most of his career as a Republican.

The favorite team is led by an 18-year-old and coached by the man who won the first tournament in 2011. Is that enough to beat three former champions?

There is a way to bet on this final without picking a winner, and it pays on Sunday, whichever of the five best teams lifts it