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LIVE: What will Donald Trump say standing next to Xi Jinping?

Live coverage and real-time market odds of 17 words and phrases ahead of Donald Trump's state dinner remarks
Edited by Toghrul Aliyev
Started Sep 24, 2026 • 4:50 PM EDT · Updated
LIVE: What will Donald Trump say standing next to Xi Jinping?
4:53 PM EDTSep 24, 2026
The words Trump will probably not say

The words traders think Donald Trump is least likely to say are: Bitcoin 3c, Biden 9c, Elon Musk 10c, million or billion five or more times 10c, Tea / Silk 13c, and Oil / Gas 20c.

Biden is the one worth focusing on. In the 12 Trump transcripts we counted for base rates in August, he said Biden's name in all 12, and million in all 12. For some reason, both are trading at single digits tonight.

4:52 PM EDTSep 24, 2026
The words Trump will probably say

The words traders think Donald Trump is most likely to say are: Melania 69c (she is hosting the dinner and toasts usually thank the host), SI / Super Intelligence 65c, China five or more times 48c, Economy 33c, Nixon 32c, and Ballroom 31c (Trump spent part of today showing Xi his White House renovations, although tonight's dinner is in the East Room, not the new ballroom).

4:51 PM EDTSep 24, 2026
Trump's evening remarks with Xi are three hours away

Donald Trump gives remarks alongside Xi Jinping at 7:55 PM ET tonight, at the state dinner in the East Room of the White House.

Xi arrived on Wednesday, the two held their bilateral meeting this morning, and Melania Trump hosted the arrival ceremony on the South Lawn.

Polymarket has 17 words and phrases on what Trump says tonight.

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What will Donald Trump say standing next to Xi Jinping? | Predictbook