Who wins MLS Cup 2026, Nashville, Miami or Vancouver?

Major League Soccer plays its final match on December 18. 30 clubs are still in it, and Polymarket has a separate price for each of them.

Six of those clubs caught our interest, as they cost 75 cents in total.

Nashville have been the best team in America all year. They have 49 points from 21 games, nine points clear of everybody else, and have let in fewer goals than any other club in the country. In August they beat Inter Miami 4-1. Until last season, they had never won a trophy at all.

Inter Miami are the holders since last December. Lionel Messi is still there, signed until 2028, and they have not won any of their last five matches. They are also the shortest price on the whole board at 20.5%.

Vancouver are the club Miami beat in that final, and this year they have the best goal difference in the league and a 36-year-old German who won a World Cup in 2014, Thomas Müller, with six goals in his second season there.

Then there are the other three. Houston have won five games in a row without letting in a goal. Chicago won five in a row in August, which they had not managed since 2000. And lastly, Los Angeles FC have Son Heung-min, who leads the whole league in assists.

With these types of markets, we always employ our basket strategy. Prediction market trading differs from trading stocks or cryptocurrencies, where you can set a stop loss. In prediction markets, losing a bet means losing it entirely. Therefore, selecting a single option is quite risky, and the ideal approach is to find a way to minimize risk without significantly reducing returns. In this case, we discovered the best balance between low risk and high return by creating a basket of the aforementioned six football clubs.