How to make 400% on Birmingham and Barcelona match tonight

Barcelona plays Birmingham City at St Andrew's tonight, their first public match of the season and the first meeting between the two clubs on record since 1960. Polymarket's market on the game charges 60 cents for Barcelona, 21 for Birmingham and 20 for the draw.

The last time they played together was in October 1957, when Birmingham beat Barcelona 4-3 at this ground, and Peter Murphy scored twice and finished joint top scorer of the whole tournament. Three years later they met here again in the Fairs Cup final and drew 0-0, in slanting rain, in front of 40,524 people.

Now look at who is on the pitch tonight. Six of the Barcelona squad that traveled come from the academy or the reserves, and the reserves finished sixth last season in Segunda Federacion, the fourth division of Spanish football. Ebrima Tunkara is 16 and expected to start in midfield. Karim Adeyemi has never started a game for the club. Eight World Cup winners stayed at home.

On the other hand, Birmingham finished tenth in the Championship on 64 points, and at St Andrew's last season they won 12, drew 8 and lost 3. They have won all five friendlies this summer. Plus, last July they beat Sevilla 3-1.

Thus, betting on Birmingham appears to be a solid, asymmetric opportunity.