Who wins Italy's Serie A: Inter, Juventus or Napoli?
9 of the last 10 Italian titles went to the same few clubs. We outline a proven basket strategy that removes the need to predict a single winner.
Italy's football season started on August 22 and finishes on May 30, 2027. One round of matches has been played out of the 38, and Polymarket already runs a market on who lifts the trophy at the end of it.
Inter Milan are the favorite at 48.5%. Last season they won the league by 11 points, won the Italian cup as well, and opened this one by beating Monza 4-1. Nobody else on the board is priced above 14%.
The trouble with paying 48.5% for Inter is that Italy has not let anybody defend a title in six years. Juventus were the last club to win it two seasons running, in 2020, and the six seasons since have produced four different champions.
So rather than pick one club, our proven strategy, which worked with the FIFA World Cup, Dota 2, and Counter-Strike 2 championships, is to create a basket. A basket is a collection of multiple contracts that you purchase with the same size. For instance, in this scenario, Inter, Juventus, and Napoli together cost 77 cents. You theoretically buy $100 each, risking $300, to win $389, which is a 29.87% return.
The reason we chose these three clubs is extremely simple. Among them, they have won nine of the last ten Italian championships. Therefore, it’s highly improbable that any other team, apart from Inter, Juventus, and Napoli, will claim the title.
This page does not constitute investing advice. Prediction markets and/or gambling may result in loss of funds. You are advised to conduct your own due diligence before taking any action.
