Does Jeanine Pirro leave the D.C. prosecutor job, or does Trump fire her?
After surviving Trump’s sharpest criticism, Jeanine Pirro’s future as Washington’s top prosecutor remains one of the year’s biggest political gambles.
Jeanine Pirro runs the federal prosecutor's office in Washington, D.C. The office decides who the United States government charges with a crime in the capital city, and Pirro was a Fox News host before the president gave her the job.
On August 3, he said she had choked and folded like an umbrella. Her office had just dropped felony charges against an Olympic canoeist accused of wrecking the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, having decided a contractor laid the pool's liner badly. Polymarket opened a market on her the next day.
Two of its deadlines have passed. August 6 resolved 'No', August 31 resolved 'No', while the December 31 contract costs 28 cents. Betting that Pirro finishes the year in the job costs 72 cents and pays 38%.
There's one very important thing that separates her from every other prosecutor Trump has lost. To hold one of these offices for good, senators have to vote you in, and Pirro got 50 votes against 45 in August 2025. The others never got that vote because they were installed temporarily and stayed past the limit the law allows. Judges have been ruling them out of their own jobs ever since: Alina Habba in New Jersey, gone in December, then one in Nevada and one in New York in the last three weeks. However, nothing like that has been filed against Pirro.
The only way she loses her job is if the president chooses to fire her, and he is allowed to do that. Nonetheless, 28 days later, she is still signing the press releases.
Using that door costs the White House the office. When one of these jobs empties, the president's people get 120 days to fill it, and then the judges of the local federal court pick the replacement. In Washington, those judges are led by James Boasberg, who in March threw out Pirro's subpoenas to the head of the Federal Reserve and ruled that their real purpose was to harass him.
There's just no good reason to fire her at the moment, especially when her office is losing anyway. Half of its federal jury trials this year ended in acquittal or a hung jury, against a national rate closer to nine convictions in ten. Sure, August was a very close call. But she survived the public fight and still has a long personal relationship with Trump. So, to ignore these facts and bet on her losing the job is simply a recipe for disaster.
This page does not constitute investing advice. Prediction markets and/or gambling may result in loss of funds. You are advised to conduct your own due diligence before taking any action.
