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Finance

Will Walmart's earnings call mention gas, gasoline or fuel?

Which of the 16 words from Polymarket will Walmart executives say out loud?
By Dr. Toghrul Aliyev|Edited by Toghrul Aliyev
Started Aug 19, 2026 • 3:30 PM EDT · Updated
Will Walmart's earnings call mention gas, gasoline or fuel?
3:31 PM EDTAug 19, 2026
The last three transcripts settle most of the board

Walmart publishes a corrected transcript of every call, which makes most of this board a counting exercise.

'Customer' has appeared 61, 65, and 67 times in the last three quarters against a contract that needs 40.

'Marketplace', 'membership', 'tariff', 'rollback', 'omnichannel', 'retail' and 'automation' have each cleared in all three. The board prices that certainty at between 75.5 and 98.8 cents, so there is very little left in it either way.

3:30 PM EDTAug 19, 2026
A 16-word market with $3,879 of liquidity behind it

Walmart's Q2 call is at 8:00 AM ET Thursday, and the words market on it is thin. Polymarket lists 16 contracts with only $3,879 of liquidity between them.

Several of the books are basically unusable. For example, 'Retail' is 54 bid at 97 offered. 'Customer 40+ times' is 42 bid at 95. 'Pharmacy' is 2 bid at 76.

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