A potential insider bet $400K on Clarity Act not getting signed in 2026
He is the third-largest holder of the no side of a $6.4m market, and he opened the position today
On Monday afternoon, a wallet with no trading history deposited $499,999.20 in USDC. It has made 3 trades since, all of them the same trade, and it now holds more of one side of one contract than every account on Polymarket except 2.
0xca79076e owns 515,398 shares of no on the Clarity Act becoming law in 2026. It cost $398,122, including $3,702 of fees, at a net average of 76.52 cents. If the bill does not become law by December 31, it pays $515,398. That is $117,276, or 29%, in 142 days.
At 2:26 PM Eastern on Monday, 132,798 shares at 75.41 cents for $101,130. Then nothing for 14 hours. Then at 4:08 AM on Tuesday, 2 orders in the same second: 129,063 shares at 75.55 for $98,465, and 253,538 shares at 77.61 for $198,526.
The White House said today it is fully committed to getting it across the line in September. The thing is, this wallet was already positioned when that was posted.
Is he an insider? Unfortunately, we don't know. What we do know is that the wallet still has $101,877 in it, unspent. The only thing worth watching is whether he will deploy that cash soon and whether he still holds it by mid-September.
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